## @RISK## Risk Analysis with Monte Carlo Simulation |
## RISKOptimizer## Optimization Under Uncertainty |
## ScheduleRiskAnalysis## Manage Uncertainty in Project Schedules |
## PrecisionTree## Probabilistic Decision Trees |

## TopRank## "What-if" Sensitivity Analysis |
## StatTools## Statistics & Forecasting |
## NeuralTols## Predictive Neural Networks |
## Evolver## Sophisticated Optimization |

## @RISK |

@RISK (pronounced “at risk”) software is an add-in tool for Microsoft Excel that helps you make better decisions through risk modeling and analysis. It does this using a technique known as Monte Carlo simulation. @RISK’s Monte Carlo analysis computes and tracks many different possible future scenarios in your risk model, and shows you the probability of each occurring. In this way, @RISK shows you virtually all possible outcomes for any situation. This probabilistic approach makes @RISK a powerful tool that you can use to judge which risks to take and which ones to avoid—critical insight in today’s uncertain world.

Works with Microsoft Excel | Model Risk Factors and Protect Yourself with Contingency Planning | ||

Avoid Pitfalls and Uncover Opportunities with Risk Analysis | Communicate Risk To Others | ||

Plan Better Strategies |

## RISKOptimizer |

RISKOptimizer combines the Monte Carlo simulation technology of @RISK, Palisade’s risk analysis add-in, with the latest solving technology to allow the optimization of Excel spreadsheet models that contain uncertain values. Take any optimization problem and replace uncertain values with @RISK probability distribution functions that represent a range of possible values. For each trial solution RISKOptimizer tries during optimization, it runs a Monte Carlo simulation, finding the combination of adjustable cells that provides the best simulation results.

Works with Microsoft Excel | Communicate Results and Data with Others | ||

Optimize Tough Problems under Uncertainty | Monitor Optimization Progress with RISKOptimizer Watcher | ||

Compare Different Solutions |

## Schedule Risk Analysis |

ScheduleRiskAnalysis analyzes schedule risk using Monte Carlo simulation with @RISK. This means SRA shows you virtually all possible outcomes in your schedule – and tells you how likely each is to occur. SRA helps you judge which risks to take, and which ones to avoid. SRA also ranks your risks, enabling you to identify the variables which impact your schedule the most. With SRA, you can:

Avoid otherwise unseen schedule delays or extra costs | Create contingency budgets based on probabilistic data | ||

Identify new opportunities to save time or accomplish tasks more efficiently | Communicate risks effectively to others, from team members to management | ||

Understand critical factors affecting your schedule, so you can make contingency plans | Combine your schedule models with existing Excel-based cost models |

## PrecisionTree |

With PrecisionTree, you can analyze and see the payoff and probability of each possible path through a decision tree. PrecisionTree nodes and functions may be added to any cell in a spreadsheet and can include arguments that are cell references and expressions – allowing great flexibility in defining decision models.

PrecisionTree determines the best decision to make at each decision node and marks the branch for that decision TRUE. Once your decision tree is complete, PrecisionTree creates a full decision analysis statistics report on the best decision to make and its comparison with alternative decisions. PrecisionTree can also create a Risk Profile graph that compares the payoffs and risk of different decision options. It displays probability and cumulative charts showing the probabilities of different outcomes and of an outcome less than or equal to a certain value.

Works with Microsoft Excel | Choose the Best Option with Confidence | ||

Plan Better Strategies | Communicate Decision Paths to Others | ||

Visually Map out Decisions |

## TopRank |

Simply take your existing spreadsheet model, select any cell or cells as outputs, and TopRank scans the spreadsheet to find cells which affect your results. Click the ‘Run What-if’ button and TopRank tries different values for each variable cell, changing values over ranges such as -10% and +10%. Each time a new value is tried, the spreadsheet is recalculated and new results are generated. Upon completion, TopRank ranks the variable cells according to the effect they have on your selected outputs. You can also select exactly which cells you wish to vary, and by how much, for a more customized analysis.

TopRank uses Vary functions in Excel to vary inputs across a range. TopRank functions are true Excel functions, and behave exactly as native Excel functions do. TopRank windows point to the cells they refer to via callouts, and changes in one place are automatically carried out in the other.

Works with Microsoft Excel | Streamline your @RISK analysis | ||

Identify Critical Factors Automatically | Communicate Important Factors to Others |

## StatTools |

First, define your data in StatTools. Then, perform any of over 30 different types of analysis on your data set, depending on your situation. StatTools provides a comprehensive and intuitive data set and variable manager right in Excel. Data sets and variables can reside in different workbooks, allowing you to organize your data as you see fit. Run statistical analyses that refer to your variables, instead of re-selecting your data over and over again in Excel. Plus, you can define variables that span multiple worksheets. Once your data sets have been defined, choose a procedure from the StatTools menu or write your own, custom procedure.

Works with Microsoft Excel | Comprehensive and intuitive data set and variable manager | ||

Statistics calculations update automatically between dataset and reports | Goes beyond the basics provided by Excel | ||

View multiple scatter plots between variables in a single report |

## NeuralTools |

There are three basic steps in a Neural Networks analysis: training the network on your data, testing the network for accuracy, and making predictions from new data. NeuralTools accomplishes all this automatically in one simple step. NeuralTools automatically updates predictions when input data changes, so you don’t have to manually re-run predictions when you get new data. Combine with Palisade’s Evolver or Excel’s Solver to optimize tough decisions and achieve your goals like no other Neural Networks package can.

Works with Microsoft Excel | Automatically Update Predictions when Data Changes | ||

Make Predictions with Incomplete Data | Use for Both Categorical and Numeric Data |

## Evolver |

Evolver, using innovative “mutations” and combinations of solutions, or “organisms,” is wellsuited to finding the best overall answer by exploring the entire universe of possible answers. Plus the use of OptQuest as optimization engine with the unique set of powerful algorithms and sophisticated analysis techniques including metaheuristics optimization, evolutionary algorithms, tabu search and scatter search, to name a few. As a result, OptQuest enables users to shift from a “What if?” approach to a “What’s best?” approach. This includes complicated, nonlinear problems where the best local solution may not be the best absolute answer. After an optimization, the user can choose whether to keep the best solution, or revert the workbook the its pre-optimization state. This makes it easy to decide the best course of action. You can also generate reports directly in Excel for an optimization summary, log of all simulations, and log of progress steps.

Seamless integration into Microsoft Excel for the highest level of computational accuracy | Faster optimizations | ||

Find the best global solution to complex, real-life problems | Monitor progress toward best solutions with Evolver Watcher |

100% Excel integration for seamless, flexible modeling with the highest degree of accuracy | |

Intuitive, Office-standard interface for maximum efficiency | |

@RISK - Full Monte Carlo simulation with multiple sampling techniques and random number generators | |

@RISK - Over 100 distribution functions, including percentile parameters, for flexible, accurate uncertainty modeling | |

@RISK - Sophisticated distribution fitting, editing, viewing, and even freehand drawing | |

@RISK and TopRank - Remove @RISK and TopRank functions to share with non-DecisionTools users | |

@RISK - Correlations and copulas for representing relationships between variables | |

@RISK - Demo Mode and updating during simulation for illustration to others | |

@RISK - Advanced simulation analyses such as stress testing and goal seek | |

@RISK - Wide array of customizable, presentation-quality graphs | |

@RISK - Exportable reports to PDF and other formats | |

@RISK - Multiple views of tornado graphs for sensitivity analysis to determine critical risk drivers | |

PrecisionTree – Visual, intuitive decision trees to identify best options and communicate to others | |

PrecisionTree – Full statistics and graphs to analyze decision options | |

PrecisionTree – Bayesian revision, logic nodes, influence diagrams and more for advanced analyses | |

PrecisionTree – Integration with @RISK to simulate uncertainty in decision outcomes | |

TopRank – Automated what-if analysis to identify the most critical factors | |

TopRank – Tornado, spider, and sensitivity graphs to communicate insights to others | |

StatTools – Replace questionable Excel statistics with a more robust, accurate feature set of the most commonly-used statistical analyses | |

StatTools – Build your own custom statistical procedures and reports | |

StatTools and NeuralTools – Intelligently manage data sets with auto-definition and support for multiple data sets | |

NeuralTools – Use neural networks to make accurate predictions from partial data sets | |

NeuralTools – Train, test, and predict with your data in one simple step | |

NeuralTools – Variable impact analysis ranks the effect of input variables on predictions | |

Evolver – Optimize tough problems using genetic algorithms, linear programming, or OptQuest solving methods to find the best combination of variables to achieve your goals | |

Evolver – Instantly see effects of the original, best, and most recent solution attempted in graphical interface | |

@RISK - Time-series functions that represent values which change over time | |

@RISK - Fast simulation speeds with multiple, unlimited processors | |

RISKOptimizer - For combining Monte Carlo simulation with optimization, for budgeting, resource allocation, scheduling, and more | |

RISKOptimizer - Efficient Frontier analysis to determine the optimal return at a given level of risk | |

PrecisionTree – Unlimited chance, decision, logic, and end-nodes | |

NeuralTools – Live Prediction, which automatically updates predictions as new data is entered into your model | |

StatTools – Analyze an unlimited number of data cases | |

TopRank – Unlimited multi-way analysis for maximum accuracy and flexibility | |

TopRank – Support for @RISK functions for ease of integration between products | |

Evolver – Optimize an unlimited number of adjustable variables | |

ScheduleRiskAnalysis - Manage uncertainty in project schedules with Monte Carlo simulation |

100% Excel integration for seamless, flexible modeling with the highest degree of accuracy | |

Intuitive, Office-standard interface for maximum efficiency | |

@RISK - Full Monte Carlo simulation with multiple sampling techniques and random number generators | |

@RISK - Over 100 distribution functions, including percentile parameters, for flexible, accurate uncertainty modeling | |

@RISK - Sophisticated distribution fitting, editing, viewing, and even freehand drawing | |

@RISK and TopRank - Remove @RISK and TopRank functions to share with non-DecisionTools users | |

@RISK - Correlations and copulas for representing relationships between variables | |

@RISK - Demo Mode and updating during simulation for illustration to others | |

@RISK - Advanced simulation analyses such as stress testing and goal seek | |

@RISK - Wide array of customizable, presentation-quality graphs | |

@RISK - Exportable reports to PDF and other formats | |

@RISK - Multiple views of tornado graphs for sensitivity analysis to determine critical risk drivers | |

PrecisionTree – Visual, intuitive decision trees to identify best options and communicate to others | |

PrecisionTree – Full statistics and graphs to analyze decision options | |

PrecisionTree – Bayesian revision, logic nodes, influence diagrams and more for advanced analyses | |

PrecisionTree – Integration with @RISK to simulate uncertainty in decision outcomes | |

TopRank – Automated what-if analysis to identify the most critical factors | |

TopRank – Tornado, spider, and sensitivity graphs to communicate insights to others | |

StatTools – Replace questionable Excel statistics with a more robust, accurate feature set of the most commonly-used statistical analyses | |

StatTools – Build your own custom statistical procedures and reports | |

StatTools and NeuralTools – Intelligently manage data sets with auto-definition and support for multiple data sets | |

NeuralTools – Use neural networks to make accurate predictions from partial data sets | |

NeuralTools – Train, test, and predict with your data in one simple step | |

NeuralTools – Variable impact analysis ranks the effect of input variables on predictions | |

Evolver – Optimize tough problems using genetic algorithms, linear programming, or OptQuest solving methods to find the best combination of variables to achieve your goals | |

Evolver – Instantly see effects of the original, best, and most recent solution attempted in graphical interface | |

@RISK - Time-series functions that represent values which change over time | |

@RISK - Fast simulation speeds with multiple, unlimited processors | |

RISKOptimizer - For combining Monte Carlo simulation with optimization, for budgeting, resource allocation, scheduling, and more | |

RISKOptimizer - Efficient Frontier analysis to determine the optimal return at a given level of risk | |

PrecisionTree – Unlimited chance, decision, logic, and end-nodes | |

NeuralTools – Live Prediction, which automatically updates predictions as new data is entered into your model | |

StatTools – Analyze an unlimited number of data cases | |

TopRank – Unlimited multi-way analysis for maximum accuracy and flexibility | |

TopRank – Support for @RISK functions for ease of integration between products | |

Evolver – Optimize an unlimited number of adjustable variables | |

ScheduleRiskAnalysis - Manage uncertainty in project schedules with Monte Carlo simulation |

Bizit Systems is the leading provider of software and services for risk and decision analysis.

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+65 6442 0411 (SG)

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Email : sales@bizits.com